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Dollar Strengthens, Pound and Euro Face Challenges
With the yen facing downward pressure due to BOJ’s potential decision to maintain its yield control policy, investors are also keeping a close watch on upcoming central bank meetings in Europe and the United States. These meetings could provide valuable insights into the future path of monetary policies.
Next week, central bank meetings are scheduled in Europe and the US, and investors are closely analyzing data to gauge the likelihood of policy adjustments. The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against major peers like the yen, rose 0.3% on Friday, heading towards a 1.1% weekly gain – the most significant increase in two months.
Market data also revealed that the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits unexpectedly decreased, touching a two-month low and signaling ongoing labor market tightness. As a result, money markets are currently pricing in a 96% chance of a 25 basis point hike from the Federal Reserve during its meeting.
The pound and euro experienced fluctuations against the dollar amid expectations of interest rate adjustments by their respective central banks. While the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in late July, the pound faces challenges with a 1.8% weekly fall, its most significant decline since early February.
Data showing stronger-than-expected UK consumer spending in June initially buoyed the pound. Nevertheless, it later resumed its slide against the dollar. On the other hand, the euro remained relatively stable against the dollar on Friday, having declined 0.6% the previous day.
Market analysts are closely monitoring the central bank meetings, especially the ECB’s decision, with a majority of economists in a Reuters poll expecting a second hike in September. As the landscape of global monetary policies evolves, uncertainties persist for major currencies, leading investors to be cautious in their trading strategies.